What does P value of 0.01 mean?

Penelope Russell | 2023-06-17 08:00:24 | page views:1852
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Oliver Lee

Works at the International Air Transport Association, Lives in Montreal, Canada.
As a statistical expert with a strong background in data analysis and hypothesis testing, I often encounter questions about the interpretation of p-values. The p-value is a crucial concept in statistical hypothesis testing, and it plays a pivotal role in determining the significance of the results obtained from various experiments and studies.

When we conduct a hypothesis test, we typically start with a null hypothesis (H0) and an alternative hypothesis (H1 or Ha). The null hypothesis usually represents a default position or a statement of no effect or no difference, while the alternative hypothesis represents the research hypothesis that we are trying to support with our data.

The p-value is the probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as, or more extreme than, the one calculated from my sample data, assuming that the null hypothesis is true. In other words, it answers this question: "How likely is it that I would see a result like this (or more extreme) if there really is no effect?"

Now, when we talk about a p-value of 0.01, we are referring to a very low probability. This means that if the null hypothesis were true, there would be a 1% chance of observing a test statistic as extreme as the one calculated from the sample data. In the context of hypothesis testing, a low p-value is often considered evidence against the null hypothesis.

The threshold for what constitutes a statistically significant result is often set at 0.05. This means that if the p-value is less than 0.05, we say that there is evidence against the null hypothesis at the 5% significance level. However, a p-value of 0.01 is even more compelling. It suggests that there is substantial evidence against the null hypothesis, indicating that the results are highly unlikely to have occurred by chance alone.

It's important to note that a low p-value does not necessarily mean that the alternative hypothesis is true. It simply means that the data provide strong evidence against the null hypothesis. The p-value is a measure of the strength of the evidence, not a measure of the probability that the null hypothesis is true or false.

Furthermore, the p-value is dependent on the sample size. With a large enough sample, even a very small effect can produce a statistically significant result. This is known as the problem of **"statistical significance but not practical significance"**. It's also why it's crucial to consider the effect size and the context of the study when interpreting p-values.

In conclusion, a p-value of 0.01 is a strong indicator that the observed results are unlikely to be due to random chance, and it provides substantial evidence against the null hypothesis. However, it's essential to interpret p-values within the context of the study, considering factors such as sample size, effect size, and the potential for bias or confounding variables.


2024-04-03 13:49:06

Benjamin Allen

Works at the International Seabed Authority, Lives in Kingston, Jamaica.
Very often, a p-value less than 0.05 leads us to conclude that there is evidence against the null hypothesis and we say that we reject the same at 5%. A p-value less than 0.01 will under normal circumstances mean that there is substantial evidence against the null hypothesis.
2023-06-22 08:00:24

Lucas Gonzales

QuesHub.com delivers expert answers and knowledge to you.
Very often, a p-value less than 0.05 leads us to conclude that there is evidence against the null hypothesis and we say that we reject the same at 5%. A p-value less than 0.01 will under normal circumstances mean that there is substantial evidence against the null hypothesis.
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